{"id":100198,"date":"2025-08-26T10:34:45","date_gmt":"2025-08-26T10:34:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/?p=39341"},"modified":"2026-02-05T15:48:38","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T15:48:38","slug":"dollar-recovers-following-initial-losses-euro-weighed-down-as-uncertainty-in-france","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insights.onequity.com\/ar\/dollar-recovers-following-initial-losses-euro-weighed-down-as-uncertainty-in-france\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar recovers following initial losses; euro weighed down as uncertainty in France"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The U.S. dollar traded mostly steady on Tuesday in a volatile session, after U.S. President Donald Trump announced the dismissal of Fed Governor Lisa Cook, marking his latest challenge to the Federal Reserve\u2019s independence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At 04:35 ET (08:35 GMT), the Dollar Index, which measures the greenback against six major peers, stood flat at 98.320, recovering after an earlier drop of nearly 0.4% following Trump\u2019s announcement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This came after the dollar posted its strongest daily gain of the month on Monday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fed independence under scrutiny<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Trump stated in his letter to Cook that she was being removed over alleged irregularities in mortgage loan applications. Cook responded that the president has no authority to dismiss her and that she will not resign.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No U.S. president has ever attempted to remove a Fed governor, leaving the next steps uncertain. However, Cook is widely expected to challenge the dismissal, with the case likely ending up before the Supreme Court.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cFollowing Adriana Kugler\u2019s resignation and the appointment of Stephen Miran, the Fed\u2019s board is beginning to tilt in Trump\u2019s direction. Markets will inevitably question the Fed\u2019s independence, which could steepen the yield curve and weigh on the dollar,\u201d ING analysts noted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Separately, this week\u2019s U.S. data calendar features consumer confidence today, second-quarter GDP revisions on Thursday, and the core PCE inflation report on Friday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAdditionally, Fed Governor Christopher Waller will deliver a key policy speech on Thursday,\u201d ING added. \u201cHe supported a July rate cut and is considered a leading candidate to succeed Powell as Fed Chair next May.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Euro pressured by French political uncertainty<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In Europe, EUR\/USD slipped 0.1% to 1.1607, pressured by ongoing political turmoil in France.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The country\u2019s three main opposition parties announced they would not support Prime Minister Francois Bayrou\u2019s Sept. 8 confidence vote on budget measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If the government falls, President Emmanuel Macron could either appoint a new prime minister, keep Bayrou as head of a caretaker government, or call a snap election.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Macron previously lost Prime Minister Michel Barnier to a no-confidence vote in late 2024, just months after his appointment following a snap election that July.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe key question for the euro is whether French political risks spill over into broader euro sentiment, or remain a France-specific issue,\u201d ING commented.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

GBP\/USD held steady at 1.3466, supported by a hawkish stance from the Bank of England.
\u201cAfter the BoE\u2019s hawkish shift this month, markets are pricing less than a full 25bp cut this year (12bp currently priced) and fewer than two cuts by mid-2026,\u201d ING said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Muted Asian trading<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, USD\/JPY edged down to 147.76 as the safe-haven yen gained modestly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

USD\/CNY rose 0.2% to 7.1616, while AUD\/USD dipped to 0.6478 after the Reserve Bank of Australia\u2019s August 11\u201312 meeting minutes suggested further policy easing may be required over the next year.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The U.S. dollar traded mostly steady on Tuesday in a volatile session, after U.S. President Donald Trump announced the dismissal […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":108716,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[2936,2935],"tags":[642],"class_list":["post-100198","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-currencies","category-markets","tag-currencies-tag"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nDollar recovers following initial losses; 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